|Table of Contents|

Value of preoperative mean platelet volume in predicting postoperative survival in elderly patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Journal Of Modern Oncology[ISSN:1672-4992/CN:61-1415/R]

Issue:
2023 14
Page:
2651-2655
Research Field:
Publishing date:

Info

Title:
Value of preoperative mean platelet volume in predicting postoperative survival in elderly patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma
Author(s):
ZHOU Shasha1GUO Zhiyuan1YANG Zhiyong1YANG Chen1YANG Yankuan2WANG Yanwei3ZHAO Bingfei1
1.Cancer Center,Handan Central Hospital,Hebei Handan 056001,China;2.Department of Oncology,Wei County People's Hospital,Hebei Handan 056800,China;3.Department of Pulmonary Medicine,the Sixth Hospital of Handan City,Hebei Handan 056001,China.
Keywords:
mean platelet volumeelderly patientsesophageal squamous cell carcinomasurvival
PACS:
R735.1
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1672-4992.2023.14.014
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the value of preoperative mean platelet volume (MPV) in predicting postoperative survival of elderly patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.Methods:259 elderly patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who received surgical treatment in our hospital from January 2014 to December 2016 were included as study subjects.The ROC curve of preoperative MPV predicting the postoperative survival of elderly esophageal squamous cell carcinoma was drawn,and the best diagnostic cut-off point of preoperative MPV was obtained.All patients were divided into two groups according to the best diagnostic cut-off point of preoperative MPV.The propensity score of each patient was estimated by Logistic model,and the two patients with the most similar propensity score in the two groups were matched by 1∶1 propensity matching score (PSM),the balance of clinicopathological indexes of patients between the two groups were compared before and after matching.Kaplan Meier survival analysis was used to compared the postoperative disease-free survival rate and overall survival rate of elderly patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma between the two groups.Cox regression model was used for sensitivity analysis to verify the predictive value of matched preoperative MPV for postoperative survival of elderly esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.Results:The disease-free survival rate and overall survival rate of 259 elderly patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma were 60.3%,41.9%,25.1% and 86.1%,62.6% and 43.2% respectively.The ROC curve showed that the AUC of preoperative MVP predicting the postoperative survival of elderly patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma was 0.835(95%CI:0.776~0.897),and the best cut-off point for diagnosis was 12.7 fL.The corresponding sensitivity and specificity were 83.6% and 85.4% respectively.According to the optimal cut-off point of preoperative MPV,the patients were divided into 112 cases (43.2%) in the MPV≥12.7 fL group and 147 cases (56.8%) in the MPV<12.7 fL group respectively.The 1∶1 nearest neighbor PSM method was used.A total of 65 pairs of the two groups were successfully matched.After matching,there were no significant differences between the two groups in tumor diameter,pleural adhesion,TNM/T stage,lymph node metastasis,number of lymph node metastasis,and vascular tumor thrombus 6 indicators,the balance of the distribution of various indicators between the two groups was significantly improved (P>0.05).Kaplan Meier survival analysis showed that after matching,1-year,3-year and 5-year disease-free survival rate of patients in the MPV≥12.7 fL group was significantly lower in the MPV<12.7 fL group (51.6%,23.8%,18.5% vs 66.5%,48.8%,32.7%,χ2/P=5.789/0.024),and the 1-year,3-year,and 5-year overall survival rates of patients in the MPV≥12.7 fL group were significantly lower than those in the MPV<12.7 fL group (85.6%,51.8%,32.5% vs 92.5%,72.8%,51.7%,χ2/P=5.674/0.026).Cox regression analysis showed that for every 1 fL increase in preoperative MVP in elderly patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma,the risk of postoperative tumor recurrence and metastasis within 5 years increased by 0.895 times,and the risk of postoperative death within 5 years increased by 1.016 times.Conclusion:MPV as an evaluation index of activated platelets,can be used to evaluate the postoperative survival of elderly patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma,and has high predictive value.

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Memo

Memo:
河北省2020年度医学科学研究课题计划(编号:20200334);河北省邯郸市科学技术研究与发展计划项目(编号: 22422083024ZC)
Last Update: 1900-01-01